Tropical storm warnings issued for parts of Louisiana coast

Reminiscent of tropical storm "Debby" in June, 2012 when the GFS outperformed other models in taking a weak but very wet tropical storm east/northeast to Florida causing flooding rains. It all depends on which system develops a well-defined, closed, center of circulation with winds great than 39 miles per hour first.

The threat of heavy rain will spread inland in Alabama on Wednesday and Thursday.

The latest report Dominica Meteorological Service (DMS) said that maximum sustained winds are near 40mph or (65kmph) with higher gusts extending outwards up to 125 miles (205km) from the centre. There's still a chance - 60 percent - that it will form within the next two days.

A tropical system is gaining strength as moves northwards in the Gulf of Mexico, heading toward the Louisiana Gulf Coast, and forecasters say the disturbance is becoming better organized. This is the first season the NHC can issue advisories on systems that are close to affecting land areas but still need to gain sufficient organization in order to be classified as a tropical depression or tropical storm.

Barbadians are being told to be on their guard and to take the necessary precautions with a developing tropical cyclone due to pass about 200 miles to the south of the island later tonight into early Tuesday morning.

A large ridge of high pressure located to the north of the system should guide it to the west-northwest over the next few days. A drift toward the north will continue with it entering the Gulf on Monday. If development occurs, the system would be known as Tropical or Sub-tropical Storm Bret or Cindy, depending on the development of Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 which is approaching the Windward Islands. This storm may briefly become a Tropical Storm before weakening in the Caribbean as it quickly pushes westward. A tropical disturbance may potentially threaten the Mississippi Gulf Coast.

Tropical development in the open Atlantic only happens about once per decade. No matter where it heads, moisture could push in and bring us a lot of rainfall next week. (NHC) There's also another storm in the Atlantic - Tropical Storm Bret.

  • Leroy Wright