UK PM May's Conservatives on course for bigger majority
- Author: Leroy Wright Jun 07, 2017,
Jun 07, 2017, 18:07
Jeremy Corbyn has kicked off the last day of the general election campaign at a rally in Glasgow, where he told activists that as prime minister he wouldn't be afraid of saying "you're wrong, mate" to Donald Trump.
Never before has an election in modern times seen as much movement in the pollsters' predictions over such a short campaign.
The Tories head into the General Election with a seven-point lead over Labour in an indication the party may have stemmed the flow of support away from it, according to a poll. The field work ran from June 4-6.
The left-leaning Guardian newspaper has backed Labour ahead of the election, while the Economist last week dropped its support for May in favour of the pro-EU Liberal Democrats.
The pledge hit the party's core supporters and May was forced to backtrack on capping the costs, prompting further criticism that she was unreliable.
But the political ground began to shift under her feet, moving from European Union membership - May's strongest card - to domestic policy and her own record on security, both of them favouring Corbyn.
An average poll lead of seven points suggests the Tories are on course for a win - is that right?
Other parties have seen their vote share squeezed by the contest between Labour and Conservatives - the Lib Dem vote was four per cent, compared to five per cent saying they supported the party at the start of the campaign, UKIP was three per cent, down from four per cent, and the Greens were on two per cent, down from three per cent.
"Give me your backing to lead Britain, give me the authority to speak for Britain, strengthen my hand as I fight for Britain", May urged voters in Stoke-on-Trent - the city that registered the highest vote for leaving the EU.
UKIP, which played a key role in Britain's vote to leave the European Union previous year, got almost 13 percent of the vote in the last election in 2015 but now languishes at about 4 percent in the polls.
Opinium Research's final poll before June 8 puts the Tories unchanged on 43% with Labour down one point since last week on 36%.
If the Conservatives finish around three points ahead of Labour - say, 40% to Labour's 37% - that could be enough, if reflected across the country on polling day, for the Tories to lose their majority in parliament.
In the past week we have seen Conservative leads ranging from a single point (from the polling company Survation) to 12 points (ComRes).
And what about Labour winning an overall majority?
May and her husband Philip were greeted with jeers of "Vote Labour" as they visited a London meat market on Wednesday.