What the Kansas special election means for Georgia's vote
- Author: Leroy Wright Apr 13, 2017,
Apr 13, 2017, 15:47
"Obviously, there's still some discussion about Obamacare and repealing and replacing that". "We saw a lot of cash come into this race at the end, high-profile politicians making calls or otherwise trying to get out the vote, and that makes a real difference".
Even if Estes were to win by, say, 15 points, that would represent a collapse of a dozen points compared to Trump's win. However, in the days leading up to the election, the Republican establishment was doing everything possible to pull him over the finish line.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Monday made calls to 25,000 households in the district, and while the state party initially rejected the Thompson campaign's request of $20,000 for a mailer, they relented and gave $3,000.
High-profile Republicans got involved in the race at the last minute, including President Trump. His campaign, inspired by Sen. Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign previous year and made a decision to run for Congress. "Democrats have an enthusiasm advantage right now on their side", one House GOP strategist told The Hill. Thompson came up short in his bid to beat Republican state Treasurer Ron Estes in a special election to replace current Central Intelligence Agency director and former U.S. Rep Mike Pompeo in the Kansas 4th congressional district.
Ron Estes, the Republican candidate for an empty House seat in Kansas, survived a surprisingly competitive race in a heavily conservative district on Tuesday, according to The Associated Press. Estes had 37,058 for 48 percent.
Thompson said he plans to run for Congress again in 2018.
"I want to congratulate Ron Estes on his victory", she said in the statement. "We'll come back in 2018 stronger and be able to win it".
Libertarian Gary Johnson received more than 55,000 votes in Kansas (4.7 percent) when he ran for president last fall. It was a sign that national Republicans were frightened about their prospects in a deep-red district where Pompeo was re-elected with more than 60 percent of the vote last November.
While Trump won the Wichita-based 4th district overwhelmingly in November 2016, much of that vote had to do with the person he was running against.
"The 4th District is tough for Democrats", Loomis said.
Trump won 60 percent of the votes cast in the 17-county congressional district that includes the state's largest city of Wichita.
"Republicans nationally should be very anxious", Bob Beatty, a Washburn University political scientist, told the AP.
Brown lost the seat two years later to Elizabeth Warren, but the point stands that with a strong candidate and low turnout, pretty much anything can happen. Thompson portrayed Estes, the state's treasurer, as a close Brownback ally even though the governor never publicly endorsed Estes.
Some Republicans were not happy with the level of effort the Republican House leadership put in during the campaign. Republicans are defending four GOP-leaning seats - the Kansas seat plus Georgia, Montana and SC - while Democrats are protecting a seat in a liberal California district. The open seats are in Georgia's 6th District, Montana's at-large district, South Carolina's 5th District and California's 34th District.