Republicans survive election scare, win Kansas House seat

Ted Cruz who came to Wichita to campaign for Estes the day before a special election at Yingling Aviation, Monday, April 10, 201.

A Democrat last won the fourth district in 1992.

If we pull back to the long view, we can see a scenario in which Trump produces a reinvigorated Democratic Party winning elections at all levels, fails to get numerous GOP's substantive goals accomplished, delivers the House to the Democrats in 2018 (thereby ending the possibility of any further legislative accomplishments), then loses in 2020. Kansas 4th District congressional candidate Ron Estes, right, and Sen. Bernie Sanders' 2016 presidential campaign, said late Tuesday that he will run for the seat again in 2018. Polls have shown Ossoff leading in the first round of balloting but Republicans are hoping to keep him below the majority needed to win outright, which would create a two-person runoff on June 20.

Estes is the state treasurer and he and Thompson were seeking the seat in the GOP-leaning 4th Congressional District of south-central Kansas formerly held by CIA Director Mike Pompeo.

Thompson won Sedgwick County while Estes locked in the remaining 16 counties.

Thompson spokesman Chris Pumpelly said Estes' victory required recorded calls from Trump and Vice President Mike Pence and other help from Republicans nationally. You can even see it in things like magazine subscriptions: liberal magazines do well when there's a Republican in the White House, and conservative magazines see a boost when there's a Democrat in the White House.

Democratic candidate James Thompson jumped out to an early lead by capturing Sedgwick County before Estes began to lock in western counties.

Estes is the state treasurer. The was district once represented by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

"Ron is going to be helping us big-league".

In the first special congressional election since President Trump took office, a Republican candidate won a narrower-than-expected victory in a district Trump easily carried less than six months ago. Republicans pulled in U.S. Sen.

Republicans outnumber Democrats in the district almost two-to-one, and the fact Thompson made the race competitive likely will have reverberations nationally and in Kansas as the state moves into 2018 with the governor's office up for grabs.

In a further warning sign for Republicans, Estes narrowly lost the district's most populous county around the city of Wichita to his Democratic opponent James Thompson, a political newcomer.

The special election was closely watched for any anti-Trump backlash against Republicans.

The only special election meant to fill a congressional seat previously occupied by a Democrat will happen on June 6 in California.

In Kansas, Cruz campaigned alongside Estes, the state treasurer, on Monday, introducing him at a rally and calling on citizens to turn out to vote.

To be clear, I'm not arguing that Trump's election is on balance a good thing.

Although Thompson fell just short of defeating Estes, his performance may cheer Kansas Democrats, who have struggled to get more than 30 percent of the vote against Pompeo in the last three congressional elections.

President Donald Trump is having an impact on voters in Kansas' special Congressional election.

"I believe that after tonight, the KS Republican Party will be 32-0 in federal and statewide elections since nominating Sam Brownback for governor", Brownback's former chief of staff, David Kensinger, said in an email.

  • Zachary Reyes