Nate Silver Says Ossoff is 'Making Sh*t Up' in Fundraising Email

Political statistician Nate Silver ordered Democratic Georgia congressional candidate Jon Ossoff to stop using his name in fundraising emails in a Tweet Monday evening.

Democrats are hoping to flip a seat in Lewis's home state of Georgia next week, when well-funded, 30-year-old investigative filmmaker Jon Ossoff competes in a special election for the seat vacated by now-Health and Human Services head Tom Price.

According to Dick Williams, a longtime Atlanta-area columnist, television host, and most recently, the publisher of the local Dunwoody Crier, the problem for Republicans is that their leading candidates are "basically all the same; they are basically all establishment Republicans".

But black voters have made up just 6.9% of the vote over the last four Democratic primaries in the district, compared with 10.6% of the last three general elections, the DCCC said.

Lewis and Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.) appeared on MSNBC with Chris Hayes Wednesday night to discuss the future of the Democratic party, as well as Tuesday's surprisingly close special election in Kansas.

The race is rated a tossup by the respected Cook Political Report as to whether a Republican or Democrat wins.

The million-member grassroots organization Progressive Change Campaign Committee is launching a fundraising drive for Ossoff and, so far, has raised more than $34,000 for his campaign.

The higher education levels and diversity in Georgia's 6th District are characteristics that make it a prime Democratic target. With just a couple of days before Friday's cutoff of early voting, more than 32,000 voters had cast their ballots. The 6th District has been owned by Republicans for almost four decades, starting in 1978 when a political novice, University of West Georgia professor Newt Gingrich won the seat.

Democrats have led in vote-by-mail and early voting, the DCCC said.

The larger national dynamics at play in the Georgia 6th raise questions about a potential political realignment in the age of Trump. Republicans - whose party controls both the Senate and the House of Representatives - remain more likely than Democrats to approve of Congress, but the gap between the two parties has diminished from 39 percentage points in February to 21 points now. Ossoff has released advertisements promising to act as a check on presidential power if he should win the seat.

Trump won 230 House districts, while Mitt Romney won 226 of them as the Republican nominee in 2012.

Gray is betting that while the suburban district may not mesh with Trump stylistically-he said he wishes the President would "put Twitter on the shelf"-he does believe the voters support Trump's policy proposals on the merits".

  • Joanne Flowers