Colorado State University's hurricane season forecast released
- Author: Joanne Flowers Apr 06, 2017,
Apr 06, 2017, 19:00
The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season will feature "slightly below average" activity, according to a prediction by atmospheric scientists.
Researchers reported that a weak or moderate El Niño is likely to occur by the height of the Atlantic hurricane season, along with cooling temperatures in the tropical Atlantic and the North Atlantic Ocean.
With that climate pattern in mind, CSU is forecasting 11 named storms, 4 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, though storms sometimes form outside those dates.
Last season spawned 15 named storms, seven of which developed into hurricanes. The average for the past century is 31 percent. The average for the past century was 52 percent.
Two to four tropical storms are forecast for the United States, forecasters said. Recently, the Tropical Meteorology Project team has expanded to include Michael Bell, associate professor in the Department of Atmospheric Science.
But they warn coastal residential that it only takes one hurricane striking the coast "to make it an active season for them, and they need to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted". The site provides information for all coastal states as well as 11 regions and 205 individual counties along the US coastline from Brownsville, Texas, to Eastport, Maine. Klotzbach and Bell update the site regularly with assistance from the GeoGraphics Laboratory at Bridgewater State University in MA. It was the costliest Atlantic hurricane season since 2012, AccuWeather said.
Numbers in parentheses represent medians based on 1981-2010 data.